

United Launch Alliance expects its new Vulcan rocket to make its inaugural launch later this year, hoisting a private lunar lander to the moon at NASA’s behest. NASA will use New Glenn to send a pair of spacecraft to Mars in 2024. Named after the first American to orbit the world, John Glenn, the rocket towers over the company’s current New Shepard rocket, named for Mercury astronaut Alan Shepard’s 1961 suborbital hop. Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin is readying the New Glenn rocket for its orbital debut from Cape Canaveral, Florida, in the next year or so. There are other new rockets on the horizon. Two private flights to the moon would follow - no landings, just flyarounds. A private crew will be the first to fly Starship, orbiting Earth. SpaceX envisions an orbiting depot with window-less Starships as tankers. To reach the moon and beyond, Starship will first need to refuel in low-Earth orbit. The moonwalkers will leave Earth via NASA’s Orion capsule and Space Launch System rocket, and then transfer to Starship in lunar orbit for the descent to the surface, and then back to Orion. It will be the first moon landing by astronauts in more than 50 years. With Starship, the California-based SpaceX is focusing on the moon for now, with a $3 billion NASA contract to land astronauts on the lunar surface as early as 2025, using the upper stage spacecraft.
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He expects it will take a couple years to achieve full and rapid reusability. But with a fleet of Starships under construction at Starbase, he estimates an 80% chance that one of them will attain orbit by year’s end. THE ODDSĪs usual, Musk is remarkably blunt about his chances, giving even odds, at best, that Starship will reach orbit on its first flight. Florida is where SpaceX’s Falcon rockets blast off with crew, space station cargo and satellites for NASA and other customers. SpaceX is retooling one of its two Florida launch pads to accommodate Starships down the road. The Texas launch pad is equipped with giant robotic arms - called chopsticks - to eventually grab a returning booster as it lands.

The complex, called Starbase, has more than 1,800 employees, who live in Brownsville or elsewhere in the Rio Grande Valley. Down the road from the launch pad is the complex where SpaceX has been developing and building Starship prototypes for the past several years. It’s just below South Padre Island, and about 20 miles from Brownsville.

Starship will take off from a remote site on the southernmost tip of Texas near Boca Chica Beach. It will be “a profound development in spaceflight if and when Starship is debugged and operational,” he said. Harvard astrophysicist and spacecraft tracker Jonathan McDowell will be more excited whenever Starship actually lands and returns intact from orbit. Starship is designed to be fully reusable but nothing will be saved from the test flight. The spacecraft would continue eastward, passing over the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific oceans before ditching near Hawaii. If Starship reaches the three-minute mark after launch, the booster will be commanded to separate and fall into the Gulf of Mexico. The test flight will last 1 1/2 hours, and fall short of a full orbit of Earth. It also outflanks the former Soviet Union’s N1 moon rocket, which never made it past a minute into flight, exploding with no one aboard. Starship easily eclipses NASA’s moon rockets - the Saturn V from the bygone Apollo era and the Space Launch System from the Artemis program that logged its first lunar trip late last year. Musk anticipates using Starship to launch satellites into low-Earth orbit, including his own Starlinks for internet service, before strapping anyone in.

The six-engine spacecraft accounts for 164 feet (50 meters) of its height. Given its muscle, Starship could lift as much as 250 tons and accommodate 100 people on a trip to Mars. All but two of the methane-fueled, first-stage engines ignited during a launch pad test in January - good enough to reach orbit, Musk noted. The stainless steel Starship has 33 main engines and 16.7 million pounds of thrust.
